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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Fetterman | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mitch McConnell | 100% | +73 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lisa Murkowski | 0% | −88 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Susan Collins | 0% | −93 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| John Curtis | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 610d | M888 | John Curtis | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,193 | +$7 +0.3% | 10 |
| 610d | Cbarbhwux2 fills | John Fetterman | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,903 | +$30 +0.1% | 10 |
| 610d | 0xb9a274d149fb9f9d9185fafb4e0539e30d0d479b | Lisa Murkowski | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,703 | −$17 −1.0% | — |
| 610d |  syncope | Mitch McConnell | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,499 | +$56 +1.0% | 10 |
| 610d | syncope | Lisa Murkowski | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,936 | +$40 +2.0% | 10 |
| 610d |  Kickstand7 | Lisa Murkowski | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,090 | −$232 −11% | — |
| 610d | Cbarbhwux | Lisa Murkowski | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,152 | +$509 +44% | 10 |
| 610d | Vilgefortz | Lisa Murkowski | SellYes56¢ → 0¢ | $1,219 | +$1,219 +100% | — |
| 610d |  khatai | Mitch McConnell | SellYes24¢ → 100¢ | $1,341 | −$4,359 −325% | — |
| 610d | surf | Lisa Murkowski | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,925 | −$1,925 −100% | 10 |
| 610d | sOswa1d3 fills | Mitch McConnell | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $10,392 | +$4,655 +45% | 10 |
| 610d | Vilgefortz | Mitch McConnell | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,604 | +$401 +25% | 10 |
| 610d | Vilgefortz2 fills | Lisa Murkowski | BuyYes87¢ → 0¢ | $2,383 | −$2,383 −100% | 10 |
| 610d | Vilgefortz | John Curtis | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,989 | +$6 +0.3% | 10 |
| 610d |  JoBiden | John Curtis | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,991 | +$4 +0.2% | 10 |
| 610d |  MotherTheresa | Mitch McConnell | BuyNo76¢ → 0¢ | $2,389 | −$2,389 −100% | 10 |
| 610d | pantomime | Susan Collins | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,043 | +$86 +2.1% | 10 |
| 610d |  Emptiness. | Lisa Murkowski | SellYes86¢ → 0¢ | $1,030 | +$1,030 +100% | — |
| 610d | Emptiness. | Lisa Murkowski | BuyYes91¢ → 0¢ | $1,368 | −$1,368 −100% | 10 |
| 610d | khatai | Mitch McConnell | BuyYes24¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | +$3,173 +309% | 10 |
| 611d |  JohnyTheWizKid | Mitch McConnell | BuyNo78¢ → 0¢ | $1,094 | −$1,094 −100% | 10 |
| 612d |  KimJonEn | John Fetterman | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | +$24 +2.4% | 10 |
| 612d | 881112 | Mitch McConnell | BuyYes24¢ → 100¢ | $1,355 | +$4,196 +310% | 11 |
| 613d |  scottilicious6 fills | John Fetterman | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $35,035 | +$1,385 +4.0% | 10 |
| 613d |  HorribleWork | Mitch McConnell | BuyNo78¢ → 0¢ | $1,396 | −$1,396 −100% | 10 |
| 614d | Echelonprt | Mitch McConnell | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $1,540 | −$1,540 −100% | 10 |
| 614d | Cigarettes-645 | Susan Collins | BuyYes93¢ → 0¢ | $1,854 | −$1,854 −100% | 10 |
| 615d |  HotSulphurMAGA | John Fetterman | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,968 | +$54 +2.8% | 10 |
| 616d | KimJonEn | Susan Collins | BuyYes93¢ → 0¢ | $1,395 | −$1,395 −100% | 10 |
| 616d |  poorpleb | Lisa Murkowski | SellYes91¢ → 0¢ | $1,229 | +$1,229 +100% | — |
| 616d | poorpleb | Susan Collins | SellYes92¢ → 0¢ | $1,014 | +$1,014 +100% | — |
| 616d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | John Fetterman | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,471 | +$76 +3.1% | 10 |
| 617d | s19c3 | Mitch McConnell | BuyNo84¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 10 |
| 617d | MotherTheresa | Susan Collins | SellYes86¢ → 0¢ | $1,720 | +$1,720 +100% | — |
| 617d | MotherTheresa | Susan Collins | BuyYes97¢ → 0¢ | $4,850 | −$4,850 −100% | 10 |
| 617d | Cbarbhwux | Susan Collins | BuyYes97¢ → 0¢ | $10,810 | −$10,810 −100% | 10 |
| 617d | poorpleb | Susan Collins | BuyYes92¢ → 0¢ | $1,380 | −$1,380 −100% | 10 |
| 620d | Kickstand7 | John Fetterman | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $11,666 | +$755 +6.5% | 10 |
| 621d | Jenovacell | John Fetterman | BuyYes8¢ → 0¢ | $1,150 | −$1,150 −100% | 11 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed senator votes to confirm Kash Patel in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If another individual is confirmed as FBI Director for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No.” If Patel is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the FBI Director without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No.” If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for John Fetterman means the market gives it about 0%.