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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch McConnell | 0% | −70 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rand Paul | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| John Fetterman | 0% | −77 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| John Curtis | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| John Hickenlooper | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lisa Murkowski | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Susan Collins | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bernie Sanders | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 592d | pantomime | Susan Collins | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,717 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 592d | pantomime | John Curtis | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 592d | BetterFish | Susan Collins | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,747 | +$4 +0.2% | 10 |
| 592d | BetterFish | John Curtis | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,590 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 592d | simpleman | Mitch McConnell | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,580 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 592d | pantomime | Rand Paul | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,719 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 592d | 11122 | Lisa Murkowski | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,315 | +$4 +0.2% | 10 |
| 592d |  Axios | Lisa Murkowski | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,608 | +$17 +1.1% | 10 |
| 592d |  aenews2 | John Hickenlooper | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 10 |
| 592d | BetterFish | John Hickenlooper | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,123 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 592d | 11122 | John Curtis | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,723 | +$4 +0.2% | 10 |
| 592d | 11122 | Bernie Sanders | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 592d | Axios | John Hickenlooper | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,196 | +$14 +1.1% | 10 |
| 592d | Axios2 fills | Mitch McConnell | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,124 | +$155 +2.5% | 10 |
| 592d |  sleepy-panda | Mitch McConnell | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,219 | +$147 +2.0% | 10 |
| 597d | simpleman | John Fetterman | BuyYes87¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 10 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed senator votes to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Secretary of Labor. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If another individual is confirmed as Secretary of Labor for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”. If Chavez-DeRemer is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Labor Secretary without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Mitch McConnell means the market gives it about 0%.