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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| New York | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Alaska | 100% | −2 pts | 0 pts | 95¢ · 100¢ (5¢) | — | ended |
| Washington | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| California | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 685d | nutattack69 | New York | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,224 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 686d | New York | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,235 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 688d | longtern | Washington | SellYes>99¢ | $5,238 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 688d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Washington | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,243 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 688d | Washington | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,854 | +$6 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 688d | longtern | Washington | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,238 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 688d | atai | Washington | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,597 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 688d | TrumpPump | Washington | SellYes>99¢ | $2,191 | −$11 −0.5% | — |
| 689d | New York | SellYes>99¢ | $1,235 | −$3 −0.3% | — | |
| 696d | AntiMAGA | California | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,387 | −$34 −1.4% | — |
| 700d | Texas | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,784 | −$16 −0.9% | — | |
| 704d | Texas | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 704d | Texas | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,688 | −$136 −1.3% | — | |
| 704d | New York | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,410 | −$236 −6.9% | — | |
| 708d | Texas | SellYes100¢ | $3,750 | −$19 −0.5% | — | |
| 709d | Alaska | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,081 | −$31 −1.0% | — | |
| 709d | OPMSucks | Texas | SellYes100¢ | $1,235 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 709d | Bink | Texas | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,251 | −$94 −1.5% | — |
| 715d | Alaska | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $19,800 | +$200 +1.0% | 10 | |
| 717d | Texas | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,640 | +$17 +1.0% | 10 | |
| 718d | Matuszeg2 fills | New York | BuyNo19¢ → 0¢ | $3,150 | −$3,150 −100% | 19 |
| 718d | polymarketbetter | Texas | SellNo38¢ → 0¢ | $1,601 | +$1,601 +100% | — |
| 718d | Bink | Texas | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $2,601 | +$1,734 +67% | 18 |
| 720d | Texas | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$695 +67% | 15 | |
| 721d | 0x2370…0e10 | New York | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | −$216 −19% | — |
| 721d | Texas | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $3,760 | −$3,760 −100% | 16 | |
| 721d | PrinceHal5 fills | Texas | SellYes63¢ → 100¢ | $7,071 | −$4,108 −58% | — |
| 722d | rabs | New York | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,214 | +$231 +19% | 11 |
| 723d | ASOEMFE | Texas | SellYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | −$528 −52% | — |
| 723d | ASOEMFE | New York | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | +$202 +20% | 11 |
| 723d | PrinceHal5 fills | Texas | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $6,448 | +$3,510 +54% | 10 |
| 725d | Texas | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$600 +43% | 10 | |
| 725d | TrumpPump | Washington | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$702 +47% | 10 |
| 726d | Texas | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,890 | +$1,110 +59% | 10 | |
| 726d | Texas | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $6,024 | +$3,692 +61% | 10 | |
| 728d | Masteroso | New York | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,404 | +$91 +6.5% | 10 |
| 728d | Masteroso | California | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | +$277 +25% | 10 |
| 731d | PrinceHal2 fills | California | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $3,470 | −$1,030 −30% | — |
| 737d | Akswa | Texas | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 10 |
| 737d | SIUWsw | Texas | SellYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | −$800 −67% | — |
| 737d | SIUWsw | Texas | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | +$760 +61% | 10 |
| 737d | SIUWsw | Texas | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 10 |
| 737d | AKIsdw | Texas | SellYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | −$680 −67% | — |
| 737d | AKIsdw | Texas | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,054 | +$646 +61% | 10 |
| 737d | AKIsdw | Texas | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 10 |
| 737d | SDWSsdw2 fills | Texas | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 11 |
| 737d | Texas | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,152 | +$736 +64% | 10 | |
| 737d | Texas | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,219 | +$780 +64% | 10 | |
| 737d | Afgfgf | Texas | SellNo38¢ → 0¢ | $1,007 | +$1,007 +100% | — |
| 737d | Afgfgf | Texas | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $1,060 | −$1,060 −100% | 10 |
| 737d | Afgfdfg | Texas | SellNo38¢ → 0¢ | $1,026 | +$1,026 +100% | — |
| 737d | Afgfdfg | Texas | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $1,080 | −$1,080 −100% | 10 |
| 738d | Texas | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,248 | +$765 +61% | 10 | |
| 738d | Texas | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,231 | +$754 +61% | 10 | |
| 738d | Texas | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | +$760 +61% | 10 | |
| 738d | VNksiw | Alaska | SellNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,017 | +$1,017 +100% | — |
| 738d | VNksiw | Alaska | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $1,085 | −$1,085 −100% | 10 |
| 740d | Lsssq | Washington | SellYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | −$495 −49% | — |
| 740d | Lsssq | Washington | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$420 +39% | 10 |
| 740d | Aqxcd | Alaska | SellNo64¢ → 0¢ | $1,280 | +$1,280 +100% | — |
This is a market on predicting which U.S. states will lean more Democratic in the 2024 Presidential election than they did in the 2020 Presidential election.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Texas means the market gives it about 100%.