Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
The first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle is currently scheduled for June 27, 2024. This market will resolve to "Biden" if Joe Biden is asked the first debate question. This market will resolve to "Trump" if Donald Trump is asked the first debate question. If neither is asked a question at the debate, this market will resolve 50-50. The first debate question refers to the first question the moderators ask that is part of the actual debate (i.e. if the moderator just asks "Are you ready?" it won't count - this market is about the first question relevant to a debate topic.) If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "50-50". The primary resolution source for this market will be official footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.