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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vladimir Putin | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joe Biden | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Caitlyn Jenner | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Volodymyr Zelensky | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jimmy Carter | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michelle Obama | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joe Rogan | 100% | +75 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kamala Harris | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mark Zuckerberg | 100% | +5 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Barack Obama | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nancy Pelosi | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hillary Clinton | 100% | +6 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bill Clinton | 100% | +3 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Rudy Giuliani | 100% | +15 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| George W. Bush | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Javier Milei | 100% | +3 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Viktor Orban | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jair Bolsonaro | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Eric Adams | 100% | +66 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shou Chew (TikTok CEO) | 100% | +6 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Giorgia Meloni | 100% | +4 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Brad Garlinghouse | 100% | +52 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sam Altman | 100% | +8 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nayib Bukele | 0% | −82 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chris Christie | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tom Brady | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Stephen Baldwin | 0% | −32 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 638d | Ordon | Caitlyn Jenner | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,190 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 638d | VvVv4 fills | Caitlyn Jenner | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,940 | +$32 +0.2% | 4 |
| 638d | Willie5552 fills | Caitlyn Jenner | BuyNo>99¢ | $25,540 | +$53 +0.2% | 4 |
| 638d | MyNameIsDarkKnight | Caitlyn Jenner | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,129 | +$21 +0.1% | 4 |
| 638d | MAGA.MUSK3 fills | Caitlyn Jenner | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $22,235 | −$467 −2.1% | — |
| 639d | MoistMango12 | Caitlyn Jenner | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,270 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 639d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | Caitlyn Jenner | BuyNo>99¢ | $24,500 | +$29 +0.1% | 4 |
| 639d |  Dropper | Caitlyn Jenner | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,010 | +$95 +1.6% | 4 |
| 639d | Isaak👴 | Caitlyn Jenner | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$23 +1.1% | 4 |
| 639d | Jack51e72 | Caitlyn Jenner | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | −$13 −1.2% | — |
| 640d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Brad Garlinghouse | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,806 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 640d |  BroWhy | Caitlyn Jenner | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,143 | −$1,143 −100% | 5 |
| 640d | MAGA.MUSK4 fills | Caitlyn Jenner | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $22,297 | +$230 +1.0% | 4 |
| 641d | Ordon | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,583 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 641d | zoone | Viktor Orban | SellNo>99¢ | $1,803 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 641d | MyNameIsDarkKnight | Volodymyr Zelensky | BuyNo>99¢ | $30,146 | +$30 +0.1% | 4 |
| 641d | nedsta | Volodymyr Zelensky | BuyNo>99¢ | $35,934 | +$36 +0.1% | 4 |
| 641d |  GollumGekko2 fills | Volodymyr Zelensky | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 641d | EPunx2 fills | Volodymyr Zelensky | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,347 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 641d |  willis1111 | Xi Jinping | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,369 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 641d | willis1111 | Volodymyr Zelensky | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 641d |  sleepy-panda2 fills | Eric Adams | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,893 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 641d |  Bertapotamous | Xi Jinping | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,908 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 641d | Bertapotamous | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,179 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 641d | abeautifulmind | Eric Adams | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,015 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 641d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Sam Altman | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,812 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 641d | Pynya | Xi Jinping | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,147 | +$20 +0.1% | 4 |
| 641d |  FrancisSP8 | Sam Altman | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,496 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 641d | GollumGekko | Xi Jinping | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 641d |  NightWatchAlabama | Volodymyr Zelensky | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 641d | GollumGekko | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 641d | pantomime2 fills | Volodymyr Zelensky | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,319 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 |
| 641d | 0xd49c…8150 | Joe Rogan | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,956 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 641d | MyNameIsDarkKnight | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,785 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 641d |  pirateshere | Joe Rogan | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,191 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 641d | Logan. | Joe Rogan | SellYes>99¢ | $1,038 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 641d |  ittgnito | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,048 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 641d | sleepy-panda | Javier Milei | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,009 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 641d | valmier | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,159 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 641d |  beigesun | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,266 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 641d |  Rasalgethi | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 641d |  NewPower | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,553 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 641d | Bertapotamous2 fills | Joe Rogan | SellYes>99¢ | $3,048 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 641d |  scottilicious | Xi Jinping | SellNo>99¢ | $32,584 | −$33 −0.1% | — |
| 641d |  JP97 | Bill Clinton | SellYes>99¢ | $1,142 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 641d | MAGA.MUSK2 fills | Joe Rogan | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,399 | +$16 +0.2% | 4 |
| 641d | MAGA.MUSK | Hillary Clinton | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,739 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 641d | MAGA.MUSK | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,948 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 641d |  ARudeEgg | Bill Clinton | SellYes>99¢ | $2,714 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 641d | Bertapotamous | Joe Rogan | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,174 | +$26 +1.2% | 4 |
| 641d | Icantpredict | Joe Rogan | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,314 | −$22 −1.7% | — |
| 641d |  Bang... | Caitlyn Jenner | BuyYes94¢ → 0¢ | $1,870 | −$1,870 −100% | 4 |
| 641d |  Slowroasted3 fills | Joe Rogan | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,623 | +$295 +5.2% | 4 |
| 641d | Dropper | Joe Rogan | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | +$24 +2.2% | 4 |
| 641d | willis1111 | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo>99¢ | $2,440 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 641d | Slowroasted | Viktor Orban | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | −$7 −0.7% | — |
| 641d |  KasaneTeto | Xi Jinping | SellNo>99¢ | $2,454 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 641d |  Eiger | Nancy Pelosi | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,734 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 641d | CapMeng4 fills | Xi Jinping | SellNo>99¢ | $20,884 | −$25 −0.1% | — |
| 641d | Ronaldo2100 | Joe Rogan | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,805 | −$319 −18% | — |
enochsmiles5,000 sharesThis is a maket group over who will attend the Trump inauguration scheduled for January 20, 2025.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Xi Jinping means the market gives it about 0%.
