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Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernie Sanders | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Donald Trump | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Letitia James | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kathy Hochul | 100% | +22 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Barack Obama | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hasan Piker | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bill de Blasio | 100% | +15 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kirsten Gillibrand | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hakeem Jeffries | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michael Bloomberg | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Chuck Schumer | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lina Khan | 100% | +26 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Eric Adams | 100% | +18 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Brad Lander | 100% | +11 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bill Ackman | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 295d | yougotme | Hakeem Jeffries | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,010 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 295d | yougotme | Kirsten Gillibrand | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,054 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 295d | yougotme | Hasan Piker | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,005 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 295d | yougotme2 fills | Barack Obama | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,880 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 295d | yougotme | Donald Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,339 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 295d | yougotme2 fills | Letitia James | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,958 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 295d |  KingZeManel | Bill de Blasio | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,171 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 295d | KingZeManel | Bernie Sanders | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,445 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 295d | KingZeManel | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,959 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 295d | Each-BenchNew account | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | +$12 +1.1% | 4 |
| 295d | Each-BenchNew account | Hasan Piker | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,152 | +$20 +1.7% | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends Zohran Mamdani's swearing-in ceremony. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, attending the ceremony is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Bernie Sanders means the market gives it about 100%.