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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin McCarthy | >99% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Steve Scalise | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Nancy Pelosi | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This is a market group on who will be elected Speaker of the House for the 118th United States Congress. The midterm US elections scheduled for November 8, 2022, are expected to be contentious, with a strong possibility of the Republicans taking the House and Senate. If the Republicans take the US House of Representatives, the present Speaker of the House, Democrat Nancy Pelosi, may be replaced by the Republican who wins a roll call election held by House members. The 2022 midterm federal election is scheduled for November 8, 2022. The 118th Congress is scheduled to be sworn in on January 3, 2023.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: >99¢ for Kevin McCarthy means the market gives it about >99%.