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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Francis Prevost | 100% | +98 pts | +99 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Luis Antonio Tagle | 0% | −20 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pietro Parolin | 0% | −27 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Peter Turkson | 0% | −7 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Angelo Scola | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wim Eijk | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Péter Erdő | 0% | −7 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mario Grech | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Raymond Burke | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fridolin Ambongo Besungu | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pierbattista Pizzaballa | 0% | −9 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Robert Sarah | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Matteo Zuppi | 0% | −10 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| No new Pope in 2025 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Baldassare Reina | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jean-Marc Aveline | 0% | −5 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Malcolm Ranjith | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jose Tolentino de Mendonca | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Francis Arinze | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mark Ouellet | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Maung Bo | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Anders Arborelius | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kurt Koch | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Filoni | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jean-Claude Hollerich | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 532d | whohizzie | Luis Antonio Tagle | SellNo>99¢ | $4,973 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 532d | randomtrader1 | Pietro Parolin | SellNo>99¢ | $4,384 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 532d |  Cajetan | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $2,280 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 532d | Ellebbee | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $1,360 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 532d | GarthBroadmore | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $1,715 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 532d | dogedaddy-407 | Matteo Zuppi | SellNo>99¢ | $2,849 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 532d | elkamello | Peter Turkson | SellNo>99¢ | $29,381 | −$29 −0.1% | — |
| 532d | PieterP | Luis Antonio Tagle | SellNo>99¢ | $1,871 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 532d |  BFBB | Other | SellNo>99¢ | $6,674 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 532d | mikupill | Pietro Parolin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,217 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 532d | gbor | Luis Antonio Tagle | SellNo>99¢ | $2,372 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 532d | Wewillwininthisandeveryworld | Pietro Parolin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,496 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 532d | gainsfarm | Pietro Parolin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,387 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 532d |  blindtoblind | Luis Antonio Tagle | SellNo>99¢ | $1,798 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 532d |  formernorrisfan | Pietro Parolin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,061 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 532d | billycosta18 | Pietro Parolin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,584 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 532d | dixon | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $1,368 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 532d | 941life | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $7,160 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 532d | Quintenf | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $10,567 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 532d | valentin10 | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $1,165 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 532d | Tradenzo | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $1,260 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 532d | Doggieson | Matteo Zuppi | SellNo>99¢ | $2,219 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 532d |  busce | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $1,376 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 532d |  ondra123 | Peter Turkson | SellNo>99¢ | $5,812 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 532d |  ITHINKTHISISGODLOVER | Pietro Parolin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,106 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 532d | ITHINKTHISISGODLOVER | Luis Antonio Tagle | SellNo>99¢ | $1,009 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 532d | maval | Pietro Parolin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,672 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 532d |  Endgametheory | Peter Turkson | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 532d |  Renanms10 | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $3,551 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 532d | Tokenizzato | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $2,634 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 532d | luchetto | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $2,407 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 532d | RiccardoCR | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $1,249 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 532d | koldito-072 | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $1,157 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 532d | Zijp | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $1,176 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 533d | ShiMoShi | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $1,123 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 533d | alessandrocr | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $3,631 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 533d | Test49991 | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $1,217 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 533d |  Phantomhive | Pietro Parolin | SellNo>99¢ | $2,822 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 533d |  ThreeFives | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $7,483 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 533d | jjay7777 | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $21,202 | −$21 −0.1% | — |
| 533d | SC88 | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $2,169 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 533d | Sagergame | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $1,665 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 533d | luficdm | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $5,871 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 533d | Darling-Scow | Matteo Zuppi | SellNo>99¢ | $2,129 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 533d | varch01 | Peter Turkson | SellNo>99¢ | $1,015 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 533d | cigarettes | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $2,447 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 533d | rbucur10 | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $5,297 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 533d | dontshowmyname | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $3,893 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 533d | BodegaCap-945 | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $1,331 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 533d | iriarte | Pietro Parolin | SellNo>99¢ | $24,451 | −$24 −0.1% | — |
| 533d | bryanz | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $2,667 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 533d | Spherical-WindshieldNew account | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $2,613 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 533d | pirulino | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $1,241 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 533d | Sashalazz | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $1,332 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 533d | parata | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $2,479 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 533d | Houseofbunnies | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $2,508 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 533d | Vulpe1 | Pierbattista Pizzaballa | SellNo>99¢ | $1,061 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 533d | DavidMbx | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $1,376 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 533d | Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $8,105 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 533d | Silentwave | Robert Francis Prevost | SellYes>99¢ | $4,514 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
qantar11 sharesThis market will resolve to the name of the next person elected to be the bishop of Rome after Pope Francis. If no new pope is elected by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No new Pope in 2025". If a person is elected to be the next bishop of Rome but declines the position, it will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The market associated with a named person will not resolve to "Yes" or "No" until the next bishop of Rome is elected and accepts the Papacy. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Vatican, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Robert Francis Prevost means the market gives it about 100%.