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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marty Makary | 100% | +18 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| RFK Jr. | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Balaji Srinivasan | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| David Friedberg | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nicole Shanahan | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Stephen Hahn | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Scott Gottlieb | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jim O'Neill | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joseph Gulfo | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 699d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead2 fills | Marty Makary | BuyYes>99¢ | $25,653 | +$26 +0.1% | 20 |
| 700d |  AgricultureSecretary2 fills | Marty Makary | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,370 | +$24 +0.7% | 20 |
| 700d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead2 fills | Stephen Hahn | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,648 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 700d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Balaji Srinivasan | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,009 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 700d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Nicole Shanahan | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,667 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 700d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Scott Gottlieb | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,069 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 700d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Joseph Gulfo | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,430 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 700d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead2 fills | Jim O'Neill | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,235 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 700d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead2 fills | RFK Jr. | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,824 | +$22 +0.1% | 20 |
| 700d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | David Friedberg | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,637 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 700d |  MMousse | Joseph Gulfo | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,948 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 700d | cigarettes | Jim O'Neill | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,618 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 700d | cigarettes | Joseph Gulfo | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,617 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 700d | cigarettes | David Friedberg | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,615 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 700d | cigarettes | Balaji Srinivasan | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,617 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 700d | cigarettes | Stephen Hahn | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,617 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 700d | MMousse | Stephen Hahn | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,218 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 700d | cigarettes | Nicole Shanahan | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,618 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 700d | MMousse | David Friedberg | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,928 | +$12 +0.3% | 20 |
| 700d | MMousse | Jim O'Neill | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,218 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 700d | MMousse | Scott Gottlieb | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,512 | +$11 +0.2% | 20 |
| 703d | NRXO519 | RFK Jr. | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,809 | −$34 −0.7% | — |
| 706d | 433222 | Stephen Hahn | SellNo51¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | −$999 −96% | — |
| 707d | 544433 | Stephen Hahn | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,020 | −$1,020 −100% | 20 |
| 707d | satamoto | Balaji Srinivasan | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,257 | +$13 +1.0% | 20 |
| 708d | poptree2 fills | RFK Jr. | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $4,878 | +$907 +19% | 20 |
| 710d | NRXO519 | RFK Jr. | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,154 | +$385 +33% | 20 |
| 710d |  SPMontreal | RFK Jr. | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,835 | +$612 +33% | 20 |
| 710d | RD29 | RFK Jr. | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $4,739 | +$836 +18% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting the next FDA Administrator appointed by Trump if he is elected or takes office again.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Marty Makary means the market gives it about 100%.