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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manel Kape | 6% | — | −1 pts | 4¢ · 7¢ (3¢) | — | in 69d |
| Leon Edwards | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Kamaru Usman | 1% | — | +1 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 69d |
| Diego Lopes | 2% | 0 pts | −5 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 69d |
| Umar Nurmagomedov | 1% | −1 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Deiveson Figueiredo | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Sean O'Malley | 20% | +1 pts | +14 pts | 1¢ · 38¢ (37¢) | — | in 69d |
| Magomed Ankalaev | 5% | −2 pts | −2 pts | 3¢ · 7¢ (4¢) | — | in 69d |
| Alexander Volkov | 8% | 0 pts | +2 pts | 1¢ · 15¢ (14¢) | — | in 69d |
| Belal Muhammad | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 69d |
| Alexandre Pantoja | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $340 | in 69d |
| Cory Sandhagen | 4% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 7¢ (6¢) | — | in 69d |
| Aljamain Sterling | 3% | — | — | 1¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | — | in 69d |
| Sergei Pavlovich | 11% | — | +8 pts | 1¢ · 20¢ (19¢) | — | in 69d |
| Charles Oliveira | 5% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 10¢ (9¢) | — | in 69d |
| Dricus Du Plessis | 5% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 10¢ (9¢) | — | in 69d |
| Max Holloway | 5% | 0 pts | — | 1¢ · 9¢ (8¢) | — | in 69d |
| Shavkat Rakhmonov | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | — | in 69d |
| Nassourdine Imavov | 8% | — | −1 pts | 7¢ · 9¢ (2¢) | $72.8 | in 69d |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | $68.2 | in 69d |
| Yair Rodriguez | 3% | — | — | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 69d |
| Merab Dvalishvili | 45% | +4 pts | +16 pts | 36¢ · 54¢ (18¢) | $45.9 | in 69d |
| Jack Della Maddalena | 2% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $38.2 | in 69d |
| Ian Machado Garry | 2% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (2¢) | $23.2 | in 69d |
| Paddy Pimblett | 5% | −1 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 9¢ (7¢) | $12.2 | in 69d |
| Jiří Procházka | 4% | −1 pts | +2 pts | 1¢ · 8¢ (7¢) | $6.5 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33d | Will Ciryl Gane become UFC champion in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,299 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 166d | Will Sean Strickland become UFC champion in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,629 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 258d | Growling-GranolaNew account | Leon Edwards | BuyNo99¢ | $1,633 | −$8 −0.5% | 4 |
| 258d | Pointed-LifetimeNew account | Leon Edwards | BuyNo99¢ | $1,629 | −$8 −0.5% | 4 |
| 258d | Kaleidoscopic-OptimisationNew account | Leon Edwards | BuyNo99¢ | $1,625 | −$8 −0.5% | 4 |
| 259d | Upright-MoneyNew account | Leon Edwards | BuyNo99¢ | $1,637 | −$10 −0.6% | 4 |
| 259d | Perky-WindshieldNew account | Leon Edwards | BuyNo99¢ | $1,633 | −$10 −0.6% | 4 |
| 259d | Agreeable-LollipopNew account | Leon Edwards | BuyNo99¢ | $1,629 | −$10 −0.6% | 4 |
| 259d | Canine-ListingNew account | Leon Edwards | BuyNo100¢ → 99¢ | $1,640 | −$13 −0.8% | 4 |
| 259d | Secondary-Dirndl-HiringNew account | Leon Edwards | BuyNo100¢ → 99¢ | $1,636 | −$13 −0.8% | 4 |
| 297d | mousty | Paddy Pimblett | BuyNo50¢ → 95¢ | $1,000 | +$896 +90% | 24 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 6¢ for Manel Kape means the market gives it about 6%.