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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Manchin | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Nancy Pelosi | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Hillary Clinton | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 824d | professorx | Nancy Pelosi | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,975 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 824d | professorx4 fills | Hillary Clinton | BuyNo>99¢ | $161,537 | +$584 +0.4% | 4 |
| 824d | professorx | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,488 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 824d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente2 fills | Hillary Clinton | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $22,530 | +$980 +4.3% | 4 |
| 824d |  VibesGreaterRules | Hillary Clinton | BuyNo100¢ | $1,990 | +$10 +0.5% | 4 |
| 824d |  aenews2 | Nancy Pelosi | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,413 | +$75 +1.0% | 4 |
| 824d | aenews2 | Hillary Clinton | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,800 | +$200 +2.0% | 4 |
| 824d |  fhantombets2 fills | Hillary Clinton | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,195 | +$89 +2.8% | 4 |
| 824d | poptree3 fills | Hillary Clinton | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $21,985 | +$1,757 +8.0% | 4 |
| 824d |  Car2 fills | Hillary Clinton | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,308 | +$160 +7.0% | 4 |
| 824d |  Ferguson0500Turd | Hillary Clinton | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $20,067 | +$621 +3.1% | 4 |
| 824d | Ferguson0500Turd | Nancy Pelosi | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,184 | +$272 +5.3% | 4 |
| 824d | Car | Nancy Pelosi | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$74 +6.4% | 4 |
| 824d | Felelony | Hillary Clinton | BuyYes49¢ → 0¢ | $1,025 | −$1,025 −100% | 4 |
| 824d |  truthteller | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,259 | +$13 +1.0% | 4 |
| 824d |  Apsalar | Hillary Clinton | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,403 | +$106 +7.5% | 4 |
| 824d | 55BURGERS55FRIES55TACOS55PIES55COKES100 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | +$133 +12% | 4 |
| 824d | Ferguson0500Turd | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,495 | +$200 +13% | 4 |
| 826d | lug | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,293 | +$285 +12% | 4 |
| 828d | abdendriel | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,541 | −$160 −10% | — |
| 835d | abdendriel | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,292 | +$177 +14% | 4 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Joe Manchin means the market gives it about 100%.