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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violet Bridgerton | 100% | +3 pts | +31 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Rosamund Li | 100% | +7 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sophie Baek | 100% | +4 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Posy Li | 0% | −9 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Eloise Bridgerton | 0% | −6 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Araminta Gun | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 239d | Rosamund Li | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,992 | +$8 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 239d | Violet Bridgerton | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,841 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 240d | Extra-Large-Pursuit3 fills | Rosamund Li | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $7,132 | +$237 +3.3% | 5 |
| 240d | lazycouchpotato | Violet Bridgerton | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,326 | −$85 −6.4% | — |
| 241d | whodet2 fills | Rosamund Li | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $4,752 | +$435 +9.1% | 4 |
| 246d | Extra-Large-Pursuit2 fills | Violet Bridgerton | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $3,182 | +$1,340 +42% | 4 |
| 247d | barcaa2 fills | Violet Bridgerton | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $14,039 | +$5,487 +39% | 4 |
| 247d | whodet | Violet Bridgerton | SellYes64¢ → 100¢ | $2,142 | −$1,228 −57% | — |
| 247d | whodet5 fills | Violet Bridgerton | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $14,275 | +$5,739 +40% | 4 |
The final episode of "Bridgerton: Season 4" is expected to release on February 26, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character becomes engaged during "Bridgerton: Season 4". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying engagement must show the specified character accepting a proposal or having a marriage proposal accepted on screen, or an engagement must be said or otherwise accepted to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., other characters discuss the engagement or a wedding occurs). If a proposal is not accepted or no formal answer to a proposal is given, it will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market, however any confirmed engagement will qualify, regardless of whether the wedding actually occurs or if the engagement is later called off. Only engagements which occur during "Bridgerton: Season 4" will qualify. Flashback scenes showing a character becoming engaged, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already engaged before "Bridgerton: Season 4" begins will not count toward this market’s resolution. Only events depicted in official "Bridgerton: Season 4" episodes will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the final episode of "Bridgerton: Season 4" is released. If the final episode of "Bridgerton: Season 4" is not released by March 31, 2026, this market will resolve based off the available episodes.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Violet Bridgerton means the market gives it about 100%.