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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Xi Jinping | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vladimir Putin | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Recep Tayyip Erdoğan | 100% | +1 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lula da Silva | 100% | +9 pts | +91 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| iShowSpeed | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| MrBeast | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d | iShowSpeed | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,833 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 296d | MrBeast | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,218 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 296d | Cristiano Ronaldo | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,365 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 297d | M888 | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,099 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 298d | M888 | Xi Jinping | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,175 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 310d | Donald Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,275 | +$23 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 331d | Recep Tayyip Erdoğan | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,707 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 376d | Lula da Silva | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,986 | +$14 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 376d | Lula da Silva | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,900 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Pope Leo XIV between May 20, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Pope Leo XIV are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Donald Trump means the market gives it about 0%.