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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Michael Flynn | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ezra Cohen | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Steve Witkoff | 0% | 0 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michael Anton | 0% | — | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Keith Kellogg | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Robert O'Brien | 0% | 0 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fred Fleitz | 0% | −14 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Stephen Miller | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person E | 0% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Person F | 0% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Person G | 0% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Person H | 0% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Person I | 0% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Person J | 0% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 295d |  jesterthegoose | Other | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,354 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d |  DirkDiggler67 | Michael Flynn | SellNo>99¢ | $1,110 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 297d | jaedung | Stephen Miller | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,750 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 297d | jaedung | Michael Flynn | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,736 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 297d | jaedung | Fred Fleitz | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,927 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 298d | DirkDiggler672 fills | Michael Flynn | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,632 | +$549 +12% | 20 |
| 518d | Silvex | Michael Anton | SellYes31¢ → 0¢ | $16,950 | +$16,950 +100% | — |
| 518d | Bryxen | Michael Anton | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $38,275 | +$16,403 +43% | 20 |
| 530d | Gulrix | Michael Anton | SellNo61¢ → 100¢ | $19,910 | −$12,730 −64% | — |
| 530d | Gulrix | Michael Anton | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $20,240 | +$12,405 +61% | 20 |
| 531d | Sovelle | Michael Anton | SellYes36¢ → 0¢ | $21,496 | +$21,496 +100% | — |
| 532d | Sovelle | Michael Anton | BuyYes37¢ → 0¢ | $22,093 | −$22,093 −100% | 28 |
| 532d | DirkDiggler67 | Stephen Miller | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,445 | +$917 +63% | 20 |
| 534d | Quenthis | Stephen Miller | SellYes40¢ → 0¢ | $14,128 | +$14,128 +100% | — |
| 534d | Quenthis | Stephen Miller | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $14,482 | −$14,482 −100% | 25 |
This market will resolve according to the next person Donald Trump appoints to the National Security Advisor position by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first announcement - if Trump announces another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". This market refers to the first permanent National Security Advisor following Mike Waltz's departure from the role; any acting advisor or otherwise temporary advisor will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Other means the market gives it about 100%.