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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 100% | +4 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Emmanuel Macron | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Friedrich Merz | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Xi Jinping | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vladimir Putin | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Giorgia Meloni | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jensen Huang | 100% | +34 pts | +74 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nicolás Maduro | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Keir Starmer | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ursula von der Leyen | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mohammed bin Salman | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| MrBeast | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| King Mohammed VI | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Satya Nadella | 100% | +33 pts | +49 pts | 98¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Kim Jong Un | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pope Leo XIV | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kaja Kallas | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 265d |  psychicpsychic | Nicolás Maduro | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,265 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 265d | psychicpsychic | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,713 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 265d | psychicpsychic | Mohammed bin Salman | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,096 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 265d | psychicpsychic | Keir Starmer | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,499 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 265d | psychicpsychic | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,414 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 265d | M888 | King Mohammed VI | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,030 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 266d |  Mijiha | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,711 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 266d |  TylerTurden2 fills | Friedrich Merz | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,532 | +$17 +0.7% | 20 |
| 266d | Laurenman | Nicolás Maduro | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,065 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 266d | Laurenman | MrBeast | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,686 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 266d | Laurenman | Kaja Kallas | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,655 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 266d | Laurenman | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,823 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 266d | Laurenman | Friedrich Merz | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,482 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 266d | Laurenman | Mohammed bin Salman | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,503 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 266d | Laurenman | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,103 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 266d | Laurenman | Keir Starmer | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,651 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 266d | Laurenman2 fills | Giorgia Meloni | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,248 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 266d | Laurenman | King Mohammed VI | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,536 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 266d |  rabbit007 | Ursula von der Leyen | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | −$10 −0.9% | — |
| 267d | COWberys | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,180 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 267d | VZCNGFDSAGFV | MrBeast | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,525 | +$6 +0.4% | 20 |
| 267d | msgbtaqth | MrBeast | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,561 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 267d | wyjsgbhsgfh | MrBeast | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,584 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 267d | trujsyhtfxgx | MrBeast | BuyNo100¢ | $1,533 | +$8 +0.5% | 20 |
| 267d | qa6yhstg | MrBeast | BuyNo100¢ | $1,581 | +$8 +0.5% | 20 |
| 267d | mhdnxdbgfgrewa | MrBeast | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,558 | +$8 +0.5% | 20 |
| 267d | THQADsdFD | King Mohammed VI | BuyNo100¢ | $1,569 | +$8 +0.5% | 20 |
| 267d | tqhjafggaf | King Mohammed VI | BuyNo100¢ | $1,597 | +$8 +0.5% | 20 |
| 267d | ztghyajhast | King Mohammed VI | BuyNo100¢ | $1,611 | +$8 +0.5% | 20 |
| 267d | htyjagagfa | King Mohammed VI | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,613 | +$6 +0.4% | 20 |
| 267d | vbaThTaDg | King Mohammed VI | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,571 | +$6 +0.4% | 20 |
| 267d | mvsbahtah | King Mohammed VI | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,599 | +$6 +0.4% | 20 |
| 267d |  GodofGamblers69 | Ursula von der Leyen | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 267d | GodofGamblers69 | Emmanuel Macron | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,285 | −$14 −1.1% | — |
| 267d | GodofGamblers69 | MrBeast | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,229 | −$10 −0.8% | — |
| 268d | mbxhatyhr | Friedrich Merz | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,566 | +$9 +0.6% | 20 |
| 268d | qtjhhasfg | Friedrich Merz | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,581 | +$10 +0.6% | 20 |
| 268d | xgjsthszf | Friedrich Merz | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,601 | +$10 +0.6% | 20 |
| 268d | mhsggTHTH | Friedrich Merz | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,601 | +$10 +0.6% | 20 |
| 268d | rtgADSFd | Friedrich Merz | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,581 | +$10 +0.6% | 20 |
| 268d | hysszvgbsat | Friedrich Merz | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,566 | +$9 +0.6% | 20 |
| 268d | TylerTurden | Keir Starmer | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,293 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 268d | BISTURI | Kim Jong Un | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,759 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 268d | gongwuyuan | Xi Jinping | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,695 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 268d | Lisbon | Mohammed bin Salman | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,797 | +$7 +0.4% | 20 |
| 269d | Ryan1365 | Nicolás Maduro | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,166 | +$7 +0.6% | 20 |
| 269d | Huge-Anagram | Pope Leo XIV | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | −$9 −0.7% | — |
| 269d | Huge-Anagram | Pope Leo XIV | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,293 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 270d | TylerTurden | Giorgia Meloni | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$12 +1.0% | 20 |
| 270d | Laurenman | Nicolás Maduro | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 270d |  Chims | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,309 | +$15 +1.2% | 20 |
| 270d | FlyingPlaty | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,739 | +$31 +1.8% | 20 |
| 270d | alwaysOn3 fills | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,528 | +$45 +0.7% | 20 |
| 271d |  Trading4Fridge | Emmanuel Macron | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,932 | −$27 −1.4% | — |
| 271d |  Tejeru | Giorgia Meloni | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,479 | −$55 −3.7% | — |
| 271d |  newwork | Keir Starmer | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,509 | +$15 +1.0% | 20 |
| 271d |  arjennnnn | Giorgia Meloni | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$23 +2.2% | 20 |
| 271d |  ComingBack | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$31 +2.1% | 20 |
| 272d | Tejeru | Giorgia Meloni | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,486 | +$49 +3.3% | 20 |
| 272d | Tejeru | Emmanuel Macron | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,486 | −$64 −4.3% | — |
Demokrat2,500 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Volodymyr Zelenskyy means the market gives it about 100%.