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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 100% | — | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Mike Waltz | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tom Cotton | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mike Pompeo | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Christopher Miller | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Robert O’Brien | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mike Gallagher | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joni Ernst | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 708d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Robert O’Brien | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,186 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 708d |  pirateshere | Robert O’Brien | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,387 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 708d | cigarettes | Robert O’Brien | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,196 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 708d | cigarettes | Christopher Miller | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,196 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 708d | cigarettes | Mike Pompeo | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,196 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 708d | longtern | Other | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,191 | +$9 +0.4% | 20 |
| 708d |  LBZcapital2 fills | Christopher Miller | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,637 | +$19 +0.3% | 20 |
| 708d | rpo | Christopher Miller | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,650 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 708d |  HuhXD | Christopher Miller | BuyNo100¢ | $2,667 | +$13 +0.5% | 20 |
| 708d | HuhXD | Mike Waltz | BuyNo100¢ | $3,045 | +$15 +0.5% | 20 |
| 709d |  just.some.guy | Tom Cotton | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,180 | −$20 −0.9% | — |
| 709d |  JJo | Mike Pompeo | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,934 | −$176 −2.0% | — |
| 710d | JJo | Mike Waltz | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,148 | −$59 −1.0% | — |
| 710d | JJo2 fills | Mike Pompeo | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,088 | +$25 +0.2% | 20 |
| 710d | Breezy-Entrance | Joni Ernst | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,110 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 710d | JJo | Mike Waltz | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,195 | +$12 +0.2% | 20 |
| 710d | JJo2 fills | Robert O’Brien | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,136 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 710d |  BustedCungly | Robert O’Brien | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,490 | +$10 +0.4% | 20 |
| 710d | JJo | Tom Cotton | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,449 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 710d | Breezy-Entrance | Mike Waltz | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,894 | +$26 +0.5% | 20 |
| 710d |  Brokie | Mike Gallagher | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,865 | +$40 +0.2% | 20 |
| 710d |  Erasmus. | Joni Ernst | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,445 | +$383 +11% | 20 |
| 710d | Erasmus. | Mike Waltz | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,463 | +$38 +1.5% | 20 |
| 710d |  Car | Mike Waltz | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,943 | +$66 +2.3% | 20 |
| 711d |  Axios | Mike Waltz | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,270 | +$339 +15% | 20 |
| 712d | 366766 | Mike Waltz | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | +$1,018 +100% | 20 |
| 713d |  rtRumble | Mike Pompeo | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,275 | −$30 −2.3% | — |
| 713d | Jason.Xu | Mike Waltz | SellYes61¢ → 0¢ | $1,221 | +$1,221 +100% | — |
| 713d |  MLBksRETARD | Tom Cotton | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,503 | +$111 +7.4% | 20 |
| 713d | Jason.Xu | Mike Waltz | BuyYes92¢ → 0¢ | $1,850 | −$1,850 −100% | 20 |
| 714d | just.some.guy | Tom Cotton | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,322 | +$178 +7.7% | 20 |
This is a market on who Donald Trump will appoint as his Defense Secretary.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Other means the market gives it about 100%.