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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linda McMahon | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Betsy DeVos | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ryan Walters | 0% | −29 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Glenn Youngkin | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tiffany Justice | 0% | −25 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elise Stefanik | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ben Carson | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 703d | Linda McMahon | BuyYes>99¢ | $22,580 | +$23 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 703d | Elise Stefanik | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,716 | +$18 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 703d | Glenn Youngkin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,274 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 708d | Elise Stefanik | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | −$17 −1.6% | — | |
| 712d | jhvcx | Betsy DeVos | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | +$105 +7.5% | 20 |
This is a market on who Donald Trump will appoint as his Education Secretary.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Linda McMahon means the market gives it about 100%.