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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RFK Jr. | 100% | +65 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bobby Jindal | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Brian Blase | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Eric Hargan | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Paul Mango | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joe Grogan | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ben Carson | 0% | −54 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 708d |  LBZcapital | RFK Jr. | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,033 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 708d |  LlamaEnjoyer | RFK Jr. | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,206 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 708d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Ben Carson | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,006 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 708d | rpo | RFK Jr. | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,279 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 708d |  pirateshere | RFK Jr. | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,384 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 708d | longtern | RFK Jr. | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,076 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 708d | Qomen | RFK Jr. | SellYes>99¢ | $1,086 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 708d |  MrNFT | RFK Jr. | SellYes>99¢ | $2,988 | −$12 −0.4% | — |
| 708d | wouafff33 | RFK Jr. | SellYes>99¢ | $1,692 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 708d |  throwawaylien | RFK Jr. | SellYes>99¢ | $3,265 | −$10 −0.3% | — |
| 708d | 0x2B495 | RFK Jr. | SellYes>99¢ | $20,429 | −$82 −0.4% | — |
| 708d | poptree2 fills | RFK Jr. | SellYes>99¢ | $36,572 | −$115 −0.3% | — |
| 708d | Wiz_0066 | Ben Carson | SellNo>99¢ | $1,698 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 708d |  🍝👹2 fills | RFK Jr. | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,193 | +$38 +0.3% | 20 |
| 708d |  aenews23 fills | RFK Jr. | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,079 | +$31 +0.3% | 20 |
| 708d | SteepStork881 | RFK Jr. | SellYes>99¢ | $2,188 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 708d |  carp3 fills | Ben Carson | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,323 | +$152 +1.8% | 20 |
| 708d | obscur0x | RFK Jr. | SellYes100¢ | $3,435 | −$17 −0.5% | — |
| 708d | triggerboat | RFK Jr. | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,977 | −$12 −0.6% | — |
| 708d |  MisTKy33 fills | RFK Jr. | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $11,589 | +$430 +3.7% | 20 |
| 708d | MisTKy3 | Eric Hargan | SellNo>99¢ | $3,210 | −$9 −0.3% | — |
| 708d |  punishedgoon | RFK Jr. | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,346 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 708d | Wiz_0066 | Bobby Jindal | SellNo>99¢ | $1,313 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 708d |  BustedCungly | RFK Jr. | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,404 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 708d | MisTKy3 | Eric Hargan | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,216 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 708d | MrNFT2 fills | RFK Jr. | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,640 | +$67 +1.0% | 20 |
| 708d | Txetg | RFK Jr. | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,195 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 708d |  vocifer | RFK Jr. | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,712 | +$17 +1.0% | 20 |
| 708d | 0xfe91…70ff6 fills | RFK Jr. | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $19,569 | +$9,257 +47% | 20 |
| 708d | Cbarbhwux2 fills | RFK Jr. | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $13,979 | +$483 +3.5% | 20 |
| 708d | wokerjoesleeper | Bobby Jindal | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,012 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 708d | wokerjoesleeper | Brian Blase | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,010 | +$4 +0.4% | 20 |
| 708d | wokerjoesleeper | Paul Mango | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,013 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 708d | wokerjoesleeper | Eric Hargan | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,012 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 708d | wokerjoesleeper | Joe Grogan | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,013 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 708d | poptree3 fills | RFK Jr. | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $24,258 | +$2,296 +9.5% | 20 |
| 708d |  MMousse2 fills | RFK Jr. | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,089 | +$133 +6.4% | 20 |
| 708d |  DickTurbin | RFK Jr. | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,750 | +$250 +5.3% | 20 |
| 708d | carp | RFK Jr. | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | +$80 +4.2% | 20 |
| 708d |  Car3 fills | RFK Jr. | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $4,133 | +$311 +7.5% | 20 |
| 708d | badatthis | RFK Jr. | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,594 | +$166 +6.4% | 20 |
| 708d | SkillzThatKillz | RFK Jr. | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | −$87 −8.7% | — |
| 708d | Donnydimes6830 | RFK Jr. | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$348 +8.7% | 20 |
| 708d | kingfisher | RFK Jr. | BuyNo24¢ → 0¢ | $3,948 | −$3,948 −100% | 27 |
| 708d | SteepStork881 | RFK Jr. | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$196 +9.8% | 20 |
| 708d | throwawaylien | RFK Jr. | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,960 | +$314 +6.3% | 20 |
| 708d | Car | Bobby Jindal | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,088 | +$23 +2.1% | 20 |
| 708d | semi | RFK Jr. | BuyYes52¢ → 100¢ | $2,629 | +$2,459 +94% | 20 |
| 709d |  ihatemyself | RFK Jr. | BuyYes39¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$1,614 +156% | 20 |
| 709d | 0xfe91…70ff | Eric Hargan | SellNo>99¢ | $1,538 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 709d | kingfisher | Ben Carson | SellNo47¢ → 100¢ | $1,385 | −$1,561 −113% | — |
| 709d |  Erasmus. | Ben Carson | SellYes53¢ → 0¢ | $3,989 | +$3,989 +100% | — |
| 709d | Albert 1953 | RFK Jr. | SellYes37¢ → 100¢ | $1,629 | −$2,717 −167% | — |
| 709d |  50Whence4 fills | RFK Jr. | SellNo67¢ → 0¢ | $7,514 | +$7,514 +100% | — |
| 709d | SteepStork8812 fills | RFK Jr. | SellNo65¢ → 0¢ | $5,615 | +$5,615 +100% | — |
| 709d | fkarasek | RFK Jr. | BuyYes35¢ → 100¢ | $1,750 | +$3,250 +186% | 22 |
| 709d | Wiz_0066 | RFK Jr. | SellNo65¢ → 0¢ | $1,341 | +$1,341 +100% | — |
| 709d | mcchive | RFK Jr. | SellYes29¢ → 100¢ | $1,735 | −$4,274 −246% | — |
| 709d | SolanaSnowballs | Ben Carson | BuyYes89¢ → 0¢ | $8,500 | −$8,500 −100% | 20 |
| 709d | SteepStork8814 fills | RFK Jr. | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $5,700 | −$5,700 −100% | 20 |
This is a market on who Donald Trump will appoint as his Health and Human Services Secretary.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for RFK Jr. means the market gives it about 100%.