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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Rubio | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ric Grenell | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bill Hagerty | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Robert O'Brien | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mike Waltz | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Anna Paulina Luna | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 708d | longtern | Ric Grenell | SellNo>99¢ | $2,026 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 709d | shashwatdreams | Ric Grenell | SellNo>99¢ | $1,976 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 709d | Marco Rubio | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 709d | Marco Rubio | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,130 | +$21 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 709d | Ric Grenell | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,081 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 709d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Ric Grenell | BuyNo>99¢ | $24,144 | +$48 +0.2% | 20 |
| 709d | Marco Rubio | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,981 | +$19 +0.3% | 20 | |
| 709d | Marco Rubio | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $16,496 | +$135 +0.8% | 20 | |
| 709d | cigarettes2 fills | Ric Grenell | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,790 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 709d | cigarettes2 fills | Mike Waltz | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,793 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 709d | cigarettes2 fills | Robert O'Brien | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,793 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 709d | cigarettes2 fills | Vivek Ramaswamy | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,793 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 709d | Marco Rubio | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $31,852 | +$176 +0.6% | 20 | |
| 709d | cigarettes | Bill Hagerty | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,895 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 709d | 1mperator17 | Marco Rubio | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,476 | +$23 +1.6% | 20 |
| 709d | Ric Grenell | SellNo100¢ | $1,476 | −$7 −0.5% | — | |
| 709d | GhettoChild | Marco Rubio | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | −$26 −2.5% | — |
| 709d | KennyM | Marco Rubio | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,936 | −$64 −2.2% | — |
| 709d | KennyM6 fills | Marco Rubio | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $9,734 | +$288 +3.0% | 20 |
| 709d | GARubicon | Marco Rubio | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,760 | +$43 +1.1% | 20 |
| 710d | Marco Rubio | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,920 | −$80 −2.0% | — | |
| 710d | Marco Rubio | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | −$24 −2.0% | — | |
| 710d | denniswin | Marco Rubio | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,357 | −$54 −1.2% | — |
| 710d | TomOysterbar | Marco Rubio | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | −$16 −1.5% | — |
| 710d | Albert 1953 | Ric Grenell | SellNo>99¢ | $7,743 | −$19 −0.2% | — |
| 710d | Albert 1953 | Marco Rubio | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,156 | −$48 −1.2% | — |
| 710d | polyaffective | Marco Rubio | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,986 | +$14 +0.7% | 20 |
| 710d | Marco Rubio | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,551 | +$41 +0.9% | 20 | |
| 710d | Robert O'Brien | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,442 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 710d | Mike Waltz | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,129 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 710d | Marco Rubio | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,124 | −$19 −0.9% | — | |
| 710d | Txetg | Marco Rubio | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,329 | −$21 −0.9% | — |
| 710d | wokerjoesleeper | Robert O'Brien | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,149 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 710d | wokerjoesleeper | Ric Grenell | BuyNo100¢ | $1,145 | +$6 +0.5% | 20 |
| 710d | wokerjoesleeper | Mike Waltz | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,149 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 710d | wokerjoesleeper | Vivek Ramaswamy | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,150 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 710d | wokerjoesleeper | Bill Hagerty | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,146 | +$5 +0.4% | 20 |
| 710d | Marco Rubio | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 710d | Ric Grenell | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,487 | +$236 +16% | 20 | |
| 710d | denniswin | Marco Rubio | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $3,814 | +$597 +16% | 20 |
| 710d | Marco Rubio | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $5,137 | +$927 +18% | 20 | |
| 710d | Albert 1953 | Marco Rubio | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,820 | +$780 +43% | 20 |
| 710d | Marco Rubio | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$200 +18% | 20 | |
| 710d | romanticpaul | Marco Rubio | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,675 | +$902 +54% | 20 |
| 710d | Vivek Ramaswamy | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$33 +3.1% | 20 | |
| 711d | v2k-759 | Vivek Ramaswamy | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,332 | −$147 −6.3% | — |
| 711d | Marco Rubio | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $17,225 | +$6,188 +36% | 20 | |
| 711d | Nowhere-Man | Vivek Ramaswamy | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,232 | +$462 +14% | 20 |
| 711d | Magletru | Marco Rubio | SellNo21¢ → 0¢ | $1,873 | +$1,873 +100% | — |
| 711d | Albert 19533 fills | Ric Grenell | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $4,663 | +$2,811 +60% | 20 |
| 711d | Marco Rubio | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,552 | +$448 +29% | 20 | |
| 711d | zhocolate | Marco Rubio | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | −$276 −26% | — |
| 711d | tedward1112 fills | Marco Rubio | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $3,778 | +$1,253 +33% | 20 |
| 711d | tbi | Marco Rubio | BuyNo24¢ → 0¢ | $1,204 | −$1,204 −100% | 21 |
| 711d | Marco Rubio | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $7,128 | +$2,376 +33% | 20 | |
| 711d | Marco Rubio | SellYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,088 | −$509 −47% | — | |
| 711d | Ric Grenell | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,531 | +$407 +27% | 20 | |
| 711d | Vivek Ramaswamy | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $8,163 | +$837 +10% | 20 | |
| 711d | Marco Rubio | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $2,906 | +$1,324 +46% | 20 | |
| 711d | Jacob442 fills | Marco Rubio | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,801 | −$199 −5.2% | — |
This is a market on who Donald Trump will appoint as his Secretary of State.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Marco Rubio means the market gives it about 100%.