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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| María Corina Machado | 0% | −1 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Nicolás Maduro | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Marco Rubio | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| John Ratcliffe | 100% | +93 pts | +73 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Emmanuel Macron | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Donald Trump | 0% | −1 pts | +2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Keir Starmer | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Pete Hegseth | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| JD Vance | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Charles Myers | 100% | −1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Dan Caine | 0% | −2 pts | −34 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Jared Kushner | 0% | — | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Richard Grenell | 0% | −20 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Edmundo González Urrutia | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Dinorah Figuera | 0% | −17 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Karoline Leavitt | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Jamie Dimon | 0% | −20 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Larry Fink | 0% | +1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206d | FlyingPlaty | Keir Starmer | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,114 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 206d | ears | Keir Starmer | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,129 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 206d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Nicolás Maduro | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,362 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 207d |  beenraping | Nicolás Maduro | SellNo>99¢ | $4,256 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 208d | beenraping | Nicolás Maduro | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,369 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 280d |  TheAugur | John Ratcliffe | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,880 | +$304 +11% | 20 |
antrax3,047 sharesIf the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for María Corina Machado means the market gives it about 0%.