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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game 3 | 0% | −42 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Game 2 | 50% | — | 0 pts | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Game 4 | 50% | −2 pts | 0 pts | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Game 5 | 50% | +10 pts | 0 pts | 50¢ · 50¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 692d | Game 5 | BuyDing60¢ → 50¢ | $1,093 | −$182 −17% | 14 | |
| 693d | Game 4 | BuyGukesh50¢ | $1,307 | $0 0.0% | 14 | |
| 695d | carlmagnuses | Game 3 | SellGukesh>99¢ | $7,368 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 695d | Anghi | Game 3 | SellGukesh>99¢ | $1,127 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 695d | EVplusrebate | Game 3 | SellGukesh>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 695d | Game 3 | BuyGukesh97¢ → 100¢ | $1,045 | +$31 +3.0% | 4 | |
| 695d | petanimal | Game 3 | SellGukesh90¢ → 100¢ | $1,226 | −$135 −11% | — |
| 695d | eerooftime | Game 5 | BuyGukesh58¢ → 50¢ | $1,102 | −$152 −14% | 6 |
| 695d | petanimal | Game 3 | BuyGukesh67¢ → 100¢ | $4,338 | +$2,137 +49% | 14 |
| 695d | Game 3 | BuyGukesh51¢ → 100¢ | $8,340 | +$8,083 +97% | 14 | |
| 695d | Danieldmvk | Game 3 | BuyDing52¢ → 0¢ | $1,392 | −$1,392 −100% | 14 |
| 696d | eerooftime2 fills | Game 3 | BuyGukesh58¢ → 100¢ | $2,219 | +$1,607 +72% | 12 |
| 696d | Game 2 | BuyGukesh49¢ → 50¢ | $7,177 | +$122 +1.7% | 14 | |
| 696d | Game 2 | BuyGukesh50¢ | $1,110 | +$10 +0.9% | 14 | |
| 697d | b1biB02 fills | Game 2 | BuyDing54¢ → 50¢ | $7,065 | −$523 −7.4% | 14 |
This is a market on predicting the winners of individual games in the World Chess Championship.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Game 3 means the market gives it about 0%.