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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPD | 100% | +72 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| AfD | 0% | −72 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| CDU | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| BSW | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 761d |  JoebamaBiden | AfD | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,768 | +$5 +0.3% | 10 |
| 761d |  MLBksRETARD | SPD | BuyYes100¢ | $2,280 | +$11 +0.5% | 10 |
| 761d |  Cajetan | AfD | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,388 | +$112 +8.1% | 10 |
| 761d |  BuckMySalls4 fills | SPD | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $9,715 | +$687 +7.1% | 10 |
| 761d |  qrpenc | AfD | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,354 | +$159 +12% | 10 |
| 761d | Kapii | AfD | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,820 | +$180 +9.9% | 10 |
| 761d | Shallnotlose2 fills | SPD | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $6,671 | +$248 +3.7% | 10 |
| 762d |  456ythgbvcadscvb | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,770 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 762d | 456ythgbvcadscvb | BSW | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,119 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 762d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,770 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 762d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | BSW | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,418 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 762d | 456ythgbvcadscvb | CDU | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,424 | +$6 +0.1% | 10 |
| 763d | Trading | AfD | BuyYes71¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 18 |
This is a market group over which party will win the most votes in the next election to the Landtag of Brandenburg, which is scheduled for September 22, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for SPD means the market gives it about 100%.