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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 927d | MxT | Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,352 | −$26 −1.9% | — |
| 927d | 0xba2c…bf17 | Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,430 | +$154 +11% | 4 |
| 928d |  justloosing | Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? | SellYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,154 | −$307 −27% | — |
| 929d | MxT | Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | +$351 +34% | 4 |
| 930d | clambake3 fills | Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $6,546 | +$3,553 +54% | 4 |
| 930d |  gopfan | Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$600 +43% | 4 |
| 931d | gopfan | Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? | SellNo28¢ → 0¢ | $2,215 | +$2,215 +100% | — |
| 931d | planetnine2 fills | Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $2,983 | +$2,187 +73% | 4 |
| 934d | BenCM | Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? | BuyYes48¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | +$1,190 +108% | 4 |
| 936d |  Nasmutin | Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? | SellYes43¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | −$1,417 −131% | — |
| 938d | rex482 fills | Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? | SellYes42¢ → 100¢ | $2,797 | −$3,786 −135% | — |
| 938d |  ANudeEgg | Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? | SellNo55¢ → 0¢ | $1,349 | +$1,349 +100% | — |
| 942d | rex483 fills | Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $4,344 | +$5,332 +123% | 5 |
| 945d | Kapii | Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? | BuyYes38¢ → 100¢ | $4,400 | +$7,224 +164% | 7 |
| 945d |  WordleAddict | Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $1,260 | −$1,260 −100% | 4 |
| 945d | MtrxZ | Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? | BuyYes39¢ → 100¢ | $1,279 | +$2,000 +156% | 5 |
| 945d |  aenews23 fills | Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $9,971 | −$9,971 −100% | 4 |
| 947d | BeN | Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? | BuyYes36¢ → 100¢ | $1,870 | +$3,349 +179% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for March 2024 shows an increase of 1.37°C or greater when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of 1.37°C or greater for March 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for March 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Mar" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for March 2024 is provided by NASA by May 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No."
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.