Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 692d | Ordon5 fills | Will a balloon deflate during the 2024 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,320 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 692d | Will a balloon deflate during the 2024 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,039 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 692d | Will a balloon deflate during the 2024 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,513 | −$23 −0.9% | — | |
| 692d | Will a balloon deflate during the 2024 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,393 | −$34 −1.0% | — | |
| 692d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Will a balloon deflate during the 2024 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,393 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 693d | Will a balloon deflate during the 2024 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $9,597 | +$301 +3.1% | 4 | |
| 693d | Will a balloon deflate during the 2024 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,060 | +$61 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 694d | LFC8 | Will a balloon deflate during the 2024 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,042 | +$53 +1.7% | 4 |
| 694d | Will a balloon deflate during the 2024 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,303 | +$90 +6.9% | 4 | |
| 694d | Will a balloon deflate during the 2024 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,404 | +$31 +2.2% | 4 | |
| 694d | Will a balloon deflate during the 2024 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,864 | +$160 +2.0% | 4 | |
| 694d | Will a balloon deflate during the 2024 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,667 | −$145 −8.7% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any balloon featured in the 2024 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade (https://www.macys.com/s/parade/lineup/) visibly deflates during the parade broadcast on November 28, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A balloon will be considered "deflated" if it significantly loses air, resulting in a notable change in its shape, size, or ability to float as intended. Minor leaks or damage that do not visibly alter the balloon's appearance or functionality will not count. The resolution source will be the official NBC broadcast of the parade.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.