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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 328d | Fickle-Key2 fills | Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,998 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 329d | LinusB2 fills | Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 329d |  bosshog | Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,498 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 329d |  JoeTrum | Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | SellNo>99¢ | $6,669 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 330d |  bamesjond | Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 330d | 0330330332 fills | Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | BuyNo>99¢ | $203,662 | +$242 +0.1% | 4 |
| 330d | Ordon | Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,007 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 330d | Torito | Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,372 | −$22 −0.9% | — |
| 330d | hohoit3 fills | Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,266 | −$57 −0.8% | — |
| 330d | JoeTrum2 fills | Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,675 | +$115 +4.3% | 4 |
| 330d |  TeemuPukki | Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,718 | −$126 −3.4% | — |
| 330d | HomelessTrader | Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,796 | −$64 −3.6% | — |
| 330d | TeemuPukki2 fills | Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,657 | +$102 +3.8% | 4 |
| 330d |  Allinnothing | Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,818 | −$96 −5.3% | — |
| 330d |  JoeMaserati3 fills | Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $16,401 | +$323 +2.0% | 4 |
| 330d | LinusB | Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$22 +2.2% | 4 |
| 330d | Dordorbaby2 fills | Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,155 | +$139 +4.4% | 4 |
| 330d | Allinnothing | Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,507 | +$78 +3.1% | 4 |
| 330d | hohoit3 fills | Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $5,337 | +$1,671 +31% | 4 |
| 330d | Torito | Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,458 | +$542 +37% | 4 |
| 331d | bamesjond | Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $1,764 | +$1,084 +61% | 4 |
| 331d |  Parz1vaI | Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | BuyYes31¢ → 0¢ | $1,091 | −$1,091 −100% | 4 |
popolupo10,057 shares
AlonsoF110,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any balloon featured in the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade (https://www.macys.com/s/parade/lineup/) visibly deflates during the parade broadcast on November 27, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A balloon will be considered "deflated" if it significantly loses air, resulting in a notable change in its shape, size, or ability to float as intended. Minor leaks or damage that do not visibly alter the balloon's appearance or functionality will not count. The resolution source will be the official NBC broadcast of the parade.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.