Polymarket · OtherClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This is a market on whether a bill will be passed in the U.S. raising long-term capital gains tax rates for individuals to above 20%, by the resolution date, August 10, 2021, 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by the resolution date, a bill is signed into law in the U.S. which effectively increases the marginal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals to a rate higher than 20% for any tax bracket. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is https://www.congress.gov/, which will be checked regularly to see if a bill meeting the aforementioned criteria is listed as having “became law” on or before the resolution date. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC). In response to trader inquiry: This market doesn't include the 3.8% surtax on net investment income (NII).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: <1¢ for Yes means the market gives it about <1%.