Polymarket · OtherClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market shall resolve to "Yes" if a Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States between the launch of this market, August 27, 2021 at 4:00 PM ET, and 11:59:59 PM ET on October 31, 2021 as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories. If no hurricanes between the launch of this market and 11:59:59 PM ET, October 31 are Category 5 status at the moment of landfall in the conterminous United States, this market shall resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, a Category 5 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 157 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a Category 5 hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: <1¢ for Yes means the market gives it about <1%.