Polymarket · OtherClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | >99% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market shall resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States by August 31, 2021, 11:59:59 PM ET, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories. If no tropical systems between the launch of this market, August 12, 2021, 2:00 PM ET, and August 31, 2021 are hurricane status at the moment of landfall in the conterminous United States, this market shall resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: >99¢ for Yes means the market gives it about >99%.