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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $158 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $140 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $148 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $150 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $142 | 100% | +34 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $136 | 100% | +73 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $152 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $154 | 0% | −2 pts | — | <1¢ · 4¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $144 | 100% | +20 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $138 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $146 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $134 | 0% | −21 pts | — | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $156 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $132 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91d |  x.o | ↑ $158 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,505 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 91d | NeoOracle | ↑ $158 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,094 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 91d | NeoOracle | ↑ $150 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,061 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 91d | Filthy-Shallot | ↑ $158 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 91d | NeoOracle | ↑ $154 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,139 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ $158 means the market gives it about 0%.