Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 630d |  JJo | Will Adrian Dittman prove he's not Elon Musk? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,922 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 631d |  slurpslurpslurp5 fills | Will Adrian Dittman prove he's not Elon Musk? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $28,628 | +$488 +1.7% | 4 |
| 633d | nedsta4 fills | Will Adrian Dittman prove he's not Elon Musk? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $13,382 | +$361 +2.7% | 4 |
| 638d |  scottilicious10 fills | Will Adrian Dittman prove he's not Elon Musk? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $35,026 | +$4,750 +14% | 4 |
| 647d | BlindGibbon2 fills | Will Adrian Dittman prove he's not Elon Musk? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$486 +6.1% | 4 |
| 661d | Octopod | Will Adrian Dittman prove he's not Elon Musk? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,654 | +$551 +33% | 4 |
During an X space discussing H-1B visas, it was pointed out that Adrian Dittman's voice (@AdrianDittman) sounded much like Elon Musk's put through a filter. This market will resolve to "Yes" Adrian Dittman (https://x.com/AdrianDittmann) proves he is not Elon Musk by 11:59 PM ET, January 31, 2025. If he does not offer conclusive proof by then, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a preponderance of credible evidence from Adrian Dittman.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.