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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4900+ | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4800+ | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 5000+ | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/. If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 4900+ means the market gives it about 0%.
