Polymarket · OtherClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | >99% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
On May 2, 2022, Politico published a story (https://www.politico.com/news/2022/05/02/supreme-court-abortion-draft-opinion-00029473) including a leaked version of a decision being drafted by the Supreme Court of the United States (SCOTUS) that would overturn Roe v. Wade and Planned Parenthood v. Casey, a set of highly contentious SCOTUS decisions that guarantee the right of American citizens' access to abortion. This was a draft from mid-February, and Supreme Court Justices are known to change opinions during the drafting process, however it has engendered intense controversy in the United States. If SCOTUS releases a decision in the case "No. 19-1392 - Thomas E. Dobbs, State Health Officer of the Mississippi Department of Health, et al., Petitioners v. Jackson Women's Health Organization, et al." in which associate justice of the Supreme Court of the United States Samuel Anthony Alito Jr. delivers the majority opinion by October 3, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Concurring or dissent opinions will not have any impact on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information released by SCOTUS (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/opinions.aspx), however credible media reporting may be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: >99¢ for Yes means the market gives it about >99%.