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Polymarket · ClimateClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +97 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 630d | jansci | Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February? | BuyYes100¢ | $2,294 | +$12 +0.5% | 4 |
| 630d |  🍝👹2 fills | Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,681 | −$35 −0.6% | — |
| 630d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 630d |  DickTurbin | Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,985 | −$15 −0.3% | — |
| 630d |  Euan3 fills | Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $20,292 | +$438 +2.2% | 4 |
| 630d | DickTurbin | Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$155 +3.1% | 4 |
| 630d |  ImAlwaysWrong | Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February? | BuyYes44¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | +$1,341 +126% | 4 |
| 630d | Phoenixxx | Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February? | SellNo93¢ → 0¢ | $1,911 | +$1,911 +100% | — |
| 630d | Phoenixxx | Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February? | BuyNo98¢ → 0¢ | $2,013 | −$2,013 −100% | 4 |
| 636d | jyPoz | Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February? | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,753 | +$775 +44% | 6 |
| 636d |  endo2 | Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February? | SellNo37¢ → 0¢ | $1,249 | +$1,249 +100% | — |
| 638d |  mr.ozi2 fills | Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February? | SellNo62¢ → 0¢ | $3,989 | +$3,989 +100% | — |
| 639d | 98877 | Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February? | SellNo90¢ → 0¢ | $2,191 | +$2,191 +100% | — |
| 639d | KrackenSruster | Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February? | SellNo88¢ → 0¢ | $2,877 | +$2,877 +100% | — |
| 639d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February? | BuyNo87¢ → 0¢ | $1,331 | −$1,331 −100% | 4 |
| 639d | 98877 | Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February? | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $1,173 | −$1,173 −100% | 4 |
| 650d | mr.ozi | Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February? | BuyNo43¢ → 0¢ | $1,084 | −$1,084 −100% | 4 |
| 651d |  Wloczega2 fills | Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February? | BuyNo54¢ → 0¢ | $2,622 | −$2,622 −100% | 4 |
| 651d |  Uselink | Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February? | BuyNo51¢ → 0¢ | $1,020 | −$1,020 −100% | 4 |
| 652d |  Blunderton | Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February? | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,423 | +$670 +47% | 4 |
| 652d | gandalf | Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February? | BuyNo29¢ → 0¢ | $1,269 | −$1,269 −100% | 5 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there are no active fires (<100% contained) over 10 acres in Los Angeles county in California at any point between January 8, and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.