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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 526d | InsiderrrZ | Will America be profitable any month in 2025? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,494 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 527d |  imtiredb0ss | Will America be profitable any month in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,860 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 528d |  macrosteaks | Will America be profitable any month in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,262 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 530d | InsiderrrZ3 fills | Will America be profitable any month in 2025? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,176 | +$72 +1.7% | 4 |
| 565d |  nothinghappens | Will America be profitable any month in 2025? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,561 | −$39 −2.5% | — |
| 575d | nothinghappens | Will America be profitable any month in 2025? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,488 | +$112 +7.5% | 4 |
ZhangFei75 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) reports a surplus for any month in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The month surplus can be found in the column labeled "Current Month Deficit Surplus Amount" in the the table "Summary of Receipts, Outlays, and Surplus or Deficit” in the MTS (see: https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/monthly-treasury-statement/summary-of-receipts-outlays-and-the-deficit-surplus-of-the-u-s-government). The resolution source will be the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury. If every month has not been published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source will be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.