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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 826d | professorx | Will American Airlines be ungrounded by Noon? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,019 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 826d |  VibesGreaterRules2 fills | Will American Airlines be ungrounded by Noon? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,682 | +$132 +1.7% | 4 |
On the morning July 19, 2024, the FAA grounded all flights from Delta, United, and American Airlines due to a communication issue (see https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/19/business/delta-american-airlines-flights-outage-intl-hnk/index.html): This market will resolve to "Yes" if American Airlines is ungrounded and resumes flight operations within the continental United States by 12:00 PM ET on July 19, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution will be based on official statements from the FAA or American Airlines, or a consensus of credible reporting indicating that American Airlines has been permitted to operate takeoffs for commercial passenger flights within the continental US.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.