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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205d |  elmcap2 | Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,589 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 206d | ears | Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,298 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 229d | Fain | Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,122 | −$84 −7.5% | — |
| 236d | M2sx92kljs42 | Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$76 +7.5% | 4 |
| 258d |  FTX2.0 | Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,377 | −$288 −21% | — |
| 279d | FTX2.0 | Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31? | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,459 | +$625 +43% | 4 |
| 290d | denizz3 fills | Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $7,856 | +$2,712 +35% | 4 |
| 290d |  ThePortrait | Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31? | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $1,024 | −$1,024 −100% | 4 |
| 290d | denizz | Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31? | BuyYes27¢ → 0¢ | $1,444 | −$1,444 −100% | 6 |
| 295d | denizz | Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31? | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,313 | −$372 −28% | — |
| 295d | ELICHOU | Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | +$286 +25% | 4 |
FTX2.02,149 shares
awarexyz25 sharesOn Friday, December 26th, Israel became the first country to recognize Somaliland as a sovereign state. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-recognises-somaliland-somalias-breakway-region-independent-state-2025-12-26/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any other UN member state formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with a relevant country, but do not formally recognize the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a recognizing country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.