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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 757d | AnonymousGambler | Will Belarus invade Ukraine before October? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,148 | +$12 +1.0% | 20 |
| 758d |  DumplingBMF2 fills | Will Belarus invade Ukraine before October? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,017 | −$101 −5.0% | — |
| 759d | Prof3852 | Will Belarus invade Ukraine before October? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,999 | +$22 +1.1% | 20 |
| 764d | AcidBurn95 | Will Belarus invade Ukraine before October? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,954 | +$46 +2.4% | 20 |
| 774d | acctpoly | Will Belarus invade Ukraine before October? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | −$51 −5.0% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Belarus commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Ukraine between August 25, 2024 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official information from Belarus, Ukraine, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.