Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden asks the moderator to repeat a question at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Requests from Biden to the moderator to repeat part of a question or statement will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Statements from Biden such as saying “excuse me” or actions such as Biden pointing to his ear, which are not explicit requests to repeat a question but result in the moderator repeating the question or part of the question will qualify for a “Yes" resolution. If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No." If the moderator repeats a question unprompted from Biden, this will NOT qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be video footage of the debate.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.