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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 960d | professorx | Will Biden or Haley drop out first? | BuyHaley>99¢ | $6,508 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 961d | Donk-513 | Will Biden or Haley drop out first? | BuyHaley98¢ → 100¢ | $3,515 | +$85 +2.4% | 4 |
| 961d | Anon55664 fills | Will Biden or Haley drop out first? | BuyHaley96¢ → 100¢ | $14,349 | +$532 +3.7% | 4 |
| 969d |  50Whence3 fills | Will Biden or Haley drop out first? | BuyHaley95¢ → 100¢ | $3,963 | +$210 +5.3% | 4 |
| 969d |  BigMike11 | Will Biden or Haley drop out first? | BuyHaley96¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | +$60 +4.2% | 4 |
| 971d |  SesameCake | Will Biden or Haley drop out first? | BuyHaley94¢ → 100¢ | $5,055 | +$323 +6.4% | 4 |
| 983d | A.n0n | Will Biden or Haley drop out first? | BuyHaley93¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | +$86 +7.5% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Biden" if President Joseph Biden drops out of the 2024 US presidential race before Nikki Haley. This market will resolve to "Haley" if Nikki Haley drops out of the 2024 US presidential race before President Joseph Biden. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent either candidate from continuing the race, this market will consider the candidate that can no longer run to have dropped out. If neither candidate drops out at any point before the 2024 election day (November 5, 2024 ET), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from this candidate or their official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.