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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 820d | Skankfest | Will Biden stumble during his dropout speech? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,877 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden stumbles at any point from when he first appears on camera to when he exits the view of the camera after the completion of his dropout speech on July 24, 2024. A "stumble" is defined as any incident where Biden loses his balance and has to catch himself, or falls to the ground. If Biden does not give a publicly broadcast speech on July 24, 2024, ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be video footage of the speech.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.