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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | >99% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This is a market on whether Canada will hold a federal election during 2021. This market will resolve to “Yes” if a Canadian federal election begins after the market creation date, August 11, 2021, 12:00 PM ET, and before the expiration date, January 1, 2022, 12:01 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The beginning of the election is defined as the time when the Governor in Council of Canada issues a proclamation for a general election. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: >99¢ for Yes means the market gives it about >99%.