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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 874d | professorx | Will China invade Taiwan in May? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,988 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 875d |  VibesGreaterRules | Will China invade Taiwan in May? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,585 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 880d | prerichhomiecon | Will China invade Taiwan in May? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,662 | +$13 +0.8% | 20 |
| 880d | Anon1EDGE1 | Will China invade Taiwan in May? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,106 | +$10 +0.9% | 20 |
| 881d | Chad-Wasp2 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in May? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,702 | +$30 +1.1% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Taiwan between May 22 and May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.