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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
The CA House Primary is scheduled for March 5, 2024, in which the two highest-placing candidates advance to the general election, regardless of party affiliation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Courtney Najera fails to move onto the CA-30 general election from the primary. If she advances to the CA-30 general election from the primary, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from California, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.