Polymarket · OtherClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | >99% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This is a market on whether atmospheric CO2 will be above 417.00 parts per million (ppm) for the date of January 9 2022, as measured by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Mauna Loa observatory (https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/monthly.html). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the daily average atmospheric CO2 is greater than 417.00 ppm for January 9 2022 and “No” otherwise. This market will resolve when data for the date of January 9 is first published on the resolution source, i.e. in the green information box on https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/monthly.html, which appears under the “Recent Daily Average Mauna Loa CO2” heading. If data is not available for the date of January 9 by January 15 2022, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. --------------------- Warning: It may be possible to infer Daily CO2 emissions using data available elsewhere on the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Mauna Loa observatory website (here: https://gml.noaa.gov/dv/data/ & https://gml.noaa.gov/dv/iadv/) up to 24 hours before they are published to the main resolution source. Trade at your own risk within the last 24 hours of the market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: >99¢ for Yes means the market gives it about >99%.