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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 519d |  Flipadelphia22 fills | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | BuySimion91¢ → 100¢ | $159,268 | +$14,902 +9.4% | 10 |
| 519d |  CoffeeLover4 fills | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | BuySimion94¢ → 100¢ | $11,599 | +$774 +6.7% | 10 |
| 519d | Flipadelphia8 fills | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion>99¢ | $177,588 | −$356 −0.2% | — |
| 519d | jarInova | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | BuySimion>99¢ | $1,250 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 520d |  bosshog | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion>99¢ | $8,654 | −$26 −0.3% | — |
| 520d | 828 | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion>99¢ | $2,988 | −$12 −0.4% | — |
| 520d | 0x79a009b7C0336273Bf3Bc7E1D940aD3e2152B9 | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | BuySimion>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 10 |
| 520d | haohua | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | BuySimion>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 520d | bosshog4 fills | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | BuySimion>99¢ | $13,404 | +$19 +0.1% | 10 |
| 520d | forinnerpsandr1x11222 | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | BuySimion>99¢ | $50,000 | +$50 +0.1% | 10 |
| 520d |  Schwarzerfalke | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion>99¢ | $8,534 | −$31 −0.4% | — |
| 521d | PetrGrepl | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion>99¢ | $1,994 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 521d |  flovertaco3 fills | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion>99¢ | $4,480 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 521d | mitzaku | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion>99¢ | $1,002 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 521d | cnfiguridofjnfke2 fills | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | BuySimion98¢ → 100¢ | $37,870 | +$676 +1.8% | 10 |
| 521d | iriarte | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion>99¢ | $2,676 | −$11 −0.4% | — |
| 522d |  BFBB | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion>99¢ | $3,723 | −$11 −0.3% | — |
| 522d |  Gondola | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion>99¢ | $2,280 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 522d |  Lipo | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion>99¢ | $1,943 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 522d | big.bitch | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion>99¢ | $7,968 | −$16 −0.2% | — |
| 522d |  RealBarronTrump | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion>99¢ | $1,076 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 522d |  donkeykongnig3 fills | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion90¢ → 100¢ | $5,509 | −$628 −11% | — |
| 522d |  Ffrcbjitefgjkoujj | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion>99¢ | $27,502 | −$28 −0.1% | — |
| 522d |  Simbaaaa | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion>99¢ | $6,460 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 522d |  Rr55 | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion>99¢ | $1,798 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 522d | Vulpe1 | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion>99¢ | $1,197 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 522d |  poorpleb | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion>99¢ | $1,130 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 522d | Llalalala | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion>99¢ | $2,402 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 522d | Movements | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion>99¢ | $9,074 | −$21 −0.2% | — |
| 522d |  wokql | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion>99¢ | $2,054 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 522d | KamLus2 fills | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion>99¢ | $12,836 | −$34 −0.3% | — |
| 522d |  HNIC7 fills | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | BuySimion90¢ → 100¢ | $31,693 | +$3,486 +11% | 11 |
| 522d | mep | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion>99¢ | $9,951 | −$49 −0.5% | — |
| 522d | Movements3 fills | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | BuySimion97¢ → 100¢ | $8,702 | +$236 +2.7% | 10 |
| 523d | SamuelCrypto | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion>99¢ | $2,481 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 523d | Cumbersome-Society | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion>99¢ | $1,136 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 523d |  AVAAL2 fills | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion88¢ → 100¢ | $9,722 | −$1,378 −14% | — |
| 523d | Kjjj7788 | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion>99¢ | $1,904 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 523d | almost-never3 fills | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion96¢ → 100¢ | $13,949 | −$571 −4.1% | — |
| 523d | Idle-Republic | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | BuySimion99¢ → 100¢ | $27,058 | +$273 +1.0% | 10 |
| 523d |  Car4 fills | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | BuySimion89¢ → 100¢ | $9,695 | +$1,231 +13% | 10 |
| 523d | AVAAL2 fills | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | BuySimion93¢ → 100¢ | $3,188 | +$244 +7.7% | 12 |
| 523d | Strict-OrnamentNew account | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | BuyDan3¢ → 0¢ | $1,024 | −$1,024 −100% | 25 |
| 523d | Vulpe1 | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | BuySimion98¢ → 100¢ | $1,179 | +$19 +1.6% | 10 |
| 523d | Realzor | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | BuySimion99¢ → 100¢ | $1,123 | +$17 +1.5% | 10 |
| 523d | 0x65c65De373A10e5f319f722 fills | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | BuySimion98¢ → 100¢ | $6,229 | +$160 +2.6% | 10 |
| 523d | JustTrading2 fills | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion88¢ → 100¢ | $5,985 | −$789 −13% | — |
| 523d |  emhyr2 fills | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion93¢ → 100¢ | $11,608 | −$914 −7.9% | — |
| 523d | Ffrcbjitefgjkoujj8 fills | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | BuySimion81¢ → 100¢ | $37,074 | +$8,755 +24% | 15 |
| 523d | dkskw0211 fills | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | BuySimion92¢ → 100¢ | $68,412 | +$5,773 +8.4% | 10 |
| 523d |  PoePoe | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | BuySimion95¢ → 100¢ | $2,997 | +$159 +5.3% | 10 |
| 523d |  scottilicious3 fills | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | BuySimion85¢ → 100¢ | $24,702 | +$4,463 +18% | 14 |
| 523d | Schwarzerfalke2 fills | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | BuySimion80¢ → 100¢ | $6,840 | +$1,725 +25% | 10 |
| 523d | PetrGrepl2 fills | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | BuySimion95¢ → 100¢ | $2,637 | +$144 +5.5% | 10 |
| 523d | HLB-3772 fills | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | BuySimion89¢ → 100¢ | $4,678 | +$599 +13% | 12 |
| 523d | alex5622 fills | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellSimion93¢ → 100¢ | $4,301 | −$323 −7.5% | — |
| 523d | poptree | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | BuySimion94¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | +$74 +7.0% | 10 |
| 523d | 23puzzlepieces | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | SellDan5¢ → 0¢ | $1,024 | +$1,024 +100% | — |
| 523d | xxx1111112 fills | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | BuySimion92¢ → 100¢ | $11,242 | +$1,001 +8.9% | 11 |
| 523d | TudorTim | Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | BuySimion94¢ → 100¢ | $1,969 | +$119 +6.0% | 10 |
Cicadas194,401 shares
BabyYoda1220,172 shares
Ambanimulti10 sharesThe 2025 Romanian presidential election runoff will be held on May 18 to determine the next President of Romania. This market will resolve to "Dan" if Nicușor Dan receives more total votes than George Simion from voters abroad (diaspora) in the second round of the 2025 Romanian presidential election. This market will resolve to "Simion" if George Simion receives more total diaspora votes than Nicușor Dan. Only votes cast outside Romania (i.e., from polling stations abroad) as reported by the Permanent Electoral Authority (Autoritatea Electorală Permanentă, AEP) and the Central Electoral Bureau (Biroul Electoral Central, BEC) will be counted for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on the Validated Results of the election, including the diaspora breakdown, as published shortly after the election (see: https://prezenta.roaep.ro/). If the diaspora results are not published or are contested, this market will remain open until official vote totals from abroad are validated and released by the Constitutional Court.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.