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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 311d | MistahFox | Will DOGE balance the budget in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,235 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 315d |  elmcap2 | Will DOGE balance the budget in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,133 | +$48 +1.2% | 4 |
| 343d |  0xbadbeef | Will DOGE balance the budget in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,093 | +$17 +1.5% | 4 |
| 380d |  How.Dare.You | Will DOGE balance the budget in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,053 | −$28 −1.4% | — |
| 406d | MaxPowell | Will DOGE balance the budget in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | +$40 +2.0% | 4 |
DanMan2 shares
brookemitchell2 shares
nataliebaker2 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the budget is balanced for the 2025 fiscal year, i.e. if revenue minus spending is 0 or greater. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the Federal Surplus/Deficit published by the U.S. Office of Management and Budget (OMB) here https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYFSD. This market will resolve according to the first data release from the OMB - any further updates won't be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.