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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +84 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) cuts $1 billion or more from USAID by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be https://www.doge-tracker.com/, specifically the value for "USAID" listed in the 'Departments' tab. If doge-tracker.com becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.