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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50% | −37 pts | 0 pts | 50¢ · 50¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 615d | XMR-933 | Will DOGE cut $3B of DEI contracts before March? | SellYes92¢ → 50¢ | $1,106 | +$502 +45% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) cuts $3 billion or more in DEI contracts by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be https://www.doge-tracker.com/, specifically the value for "DEI" listed in the 'Contracts' tab. If doge-tracker.com becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 50%.