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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 534d | moshito | Will Donald Trump be the next Pope? | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,578 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 534d | Ordon | Will Donald Trump be the next Pope? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,889 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 535d | Will Donald Trump be the next Pope? | SellNo>99¢ | $19,980 | −$20 −0.1% | — | |
| 536d | Will Donald Trump be the next Pope? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,688 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 536d | Will Donald Trump be the next Pope? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,640 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 536d | HuskyRRRRR | Will Donald Trump be the next Pope? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,848 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 537d | udellwho | Will Donald Trump be the next Pope? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 537d | Will Donald Trump be the next Pope? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,141 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 537d | Lisbon2 fills | Will Donald Trump be the next Pope? | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,989 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 538d | Will Donald Trump be the next Pope? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,687 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 538d | 0x46a121E4DF5FdD6CF042A4EDe1E90672583E2736 | Will Donald Trump be the next Pope? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 538d | RandomJake | Will Donald Trump be the next Pope? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 538d | Gdub | Will Donald Trump be the next Pope? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,992 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 539d | Will Donald Trump be the next Pope? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,822 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 539d | Will Donald Trump be the next Pope? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 540d | Will Donald Trump be the next Pope? | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,970 | +$30 +0.2% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is announced as the next bishop of Rome after Pope Francis. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no new pope is announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Vatican, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.