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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 571d | Will Donald Trump dance in March? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,716 | +$20 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 571d | Will Donald Trump dance in March? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,805 | +$59 +0.7% | 4 | |
| 572d | Will Donald Trump dance in March? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,061 | +$29 +2.8% | 5 | |
| 577d | Idontwantausername | Will Donald Trump dance in March? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,084 | −$71 −6.6% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if video evidence is published showing Donald Trump dancing in public between March 21, 6:15 PM and March 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement intended to match music or a beat—such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental movement will not qualify. AI-generated footage, or deepfakes will not be considered. The resolution source will be publicly available video evidence.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.